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E5 (May 2005, #6)

Projecting Immigration: A Survey of the Current State of Practice and Theory
Jackson, Richard and Neil Howe.
Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS). April 2005, 45p.
"This report notes that most short-term projections of immigration statistics are rather unreliable. Unanticipated events can have major impacts on when and where groups of immigrants will go in the near-term. The authors urge demographers to refine their methodologies and to extend their projections … The authors also look at Eurostat’s latest projections, as well as the latest projections of three EU countries: Germany, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom.” Neil Howe is a senior adviser to the Concord Coalition and senior associate with the CSIS Global Aging Initiative. Richard Jackson is the director of the CSIS Global Aging Initiative; he is also an adjunct fellow at the Hudson Institute and a senior adviser to the Concord Coalition.

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