Two Parties, Two Types of Nominees,
Two Paths to Winning A Presidential Nomination, 1972-2004
Berggren, Jason D.
Presidential Studies Quarterly, June 2007, v37, #2, pp203-228
"This article shows that the eventual Democratic nominee is typically different from and often travels a different path to victory than the eventual Republican nominee. Since 1972, the eventual Democratic winners began as relatively unknown candidates with single-digit support who emerge as the frontrunner late in the process, sometimes just before the voting begins in Iowa and New Hampshire and sometimes just after the first votes are cast. John Kerry is only the latest Democratic example. In contrast, Republican winners have been national figures and have consistently been the early favorites a year before any votes were cast or large sums of money raised.” D. Jason Berggren lectures at the Department of Political Science, Florida International University.
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C6/03-07. Posted May 12/07