| Employment Outlook: 2008–18
Monthly Labor Review, November 2009, v132, #11
"The November issue of the Monthly Labor Review marks the release of the 2008–18 employment projections of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Four sets of projections are presented in separate articles on the labor force, the U.S. macroeconomy, industry output and employment, and occupational employment. These articles outline the assumptions and rationales underlying expected changes in the economy and present detailed results for each set of projections. For just the second time in the last 30 years, the base-year employment and output of the projections reflect an economy in a deep recession."
- The Employment Projections for 2008–18
Bartsch, Kristina J.
Monthly Labor Review, November 2009, v132, #11, pp3-11
"The employment structure of the U.S. economy in 2018 is expected to remain similar to that of 2008, although changes in shares of employment will result from continuing increases or declines among some occupations; in general, goods-producing sectors, excluding agriculture, will lose employment while service-providing sectors will expand."
Kristina J. Bartsch is chief, Occupational Outlook Division, Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- The U.S. Economy to 2018: From Recession to Recovery
Wyatt, Ian D.; Byun, Kathryn J.
Monthly Labor Review, November 2009, v132, #11, pp11-29
"In the summer of 2009, U.S. payroll employment continued to fall as a result of the recession that began more than a year and a half earlier in December 2007. The recession has been one of the most severe since World War II, with the unemployment rate jumping from 4.7 percent in November 2007 to 10.2 percent in October 2009. However, as with other business cycles, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) projects that the economy will return to a path of long-run growth over the next decade."
Ian D. Wyatt and Kathryn J. Byun are economists in the Division of Industry Employment Projections, Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Labor Force Projections to 2018: Older Workers Staying more Active
Toossi, Mitra
Monthly Labor Review, November 2009, v132, #11, pp30-51
"As the baby-boom generation ages, the share of workers in the 55-years-and-older age group will increase dramatically; the participation rates of older workers in the labor force are expected to increase, but will remain significantly lower than those for the prime age group, and, as a result, the participation rate and overall labor force growth rate will decline."
Mitra Toossi is an economist in the Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Industry Output and Employment Projections to 2018
Woods, Rose A.
Monthly Labor Review, November 2009, v132, #11, pp52-81
"Professional and business services and the health care and social assistance sectors account for more than half of the projected job growth from 2008 to 2018; construction also is expected to add jobs, while agriculture and manufacturing employment is expected to decline over the period."
Rose A. Woods is an economist formerly in the Division of Industry Employment Projections, Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Occupational Employment Projections to 2018
Lacey, T. Alan; Wright, Benjamin
Monthly Labor Review, November 2009, v132, #11, pp82-123
"Professional and related occupations and service occupations are expected to create more new jobs than all other occupational groups from 2008 to 2018; in addition, growth will be faster among occupations for which postsecondary education is the most significant form of education or training, and, across all occupations, replacement needs will create many more job openings than will job growth."
T. Alan Lacey and Benjamin Wright are economists in the Division of Occupational Outlook, Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
B18/01-10 - Posted January 28, 2010
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